// ResearchV1 · BLUEPRINT-02 · Blueprint

CTDMM PIP Blueprints v1.0

Seven behavioural indicators that power the Bitcoin OS meta-signal.

Each PIP is a self-contained indicator with a defined intent, a defined input set, and a defined output surface. Together they form the signal engine underneath the Bitcoin Behavioural OS.

PIPIndicatorsBitcoinBlueprint
01

PIP-S01 — Sentiment Phase Detector

Purpose
Classify current sentiment phase and anticipate the next transition.
FacetDetail
InputsFunding rate, open interest, volatility (realized/ATR), aggregated social sentiment, narrative tone.
OutputsCurrent phase (Disbelief → Capitulation), next-phase probability, transition risk alert.
Core logicMap sentiment + funding + OI changes to phase clusters; detect flips + volatility spikes as transition triggers.
02

PIP-B02 — Retail vs Pro Behaviour Split

Purpose
Separate emotional flow (retail) from strategic flow (pro).
FacetDetail
InputsOrder size distribution, taker vs maker imbalance, liquidation clusters, whale wallet activity, ETF vs exchange flow.
OutputsRetail dominance score (0–100), institutional dominance score, divergence flag.
Core logicClassify flows by size and venue; retail = small-size aggression + liquidations; institutional = large ETF/CME/on-chain moves.
03

PIP-N03 — Narrative Pressure Index

Purpose
Quantify narrative bias and its likely behavioural impact.
FacetDetail
InputsHeadline polarity, freq. of negative vs positive stories, influencer tone, institutional reports.
OutputsPolarity (Bearish/Neutral/Bullish), pressure strength (0–100), behavioural tag.
Core logicNLP polarity scored and weighted by source importance; negative clustering during dumps → high fear pressure.
04

PIP-M04 — Institutional Mass Monitor

Purpose
Track whether big money is absorbing, distributing, or neutral.
FacetDetail
InputsETF flows (+ rolling avg), CME futures positioning, large on-chain transfers, long-term holder metrics.
OutputsInstitutional pressure (Accumulating / Distributing / Neutral), mass score, trend.
Core logicPositive ETF + long-term holder accumulation → Accumulating. Negative ETF + large outflows → Distributing.
05

PIP-L07 — Liquidity Geometry Engine

Purpose
Detect sweeps, traps, and high-probability liquidity zones.
FacetDetail
InputsLocal highs/lows, liquidation heatmaps, orderbook depth, volatility spikes.
OutputsSweep events, trap type (Bull/Bear/None), liquidity targets, reversal probability.
Core logicMove beyond a key high/low + immediate rejection = sweep. Sweep + heavy liquidations + opposite follow-through = trap.
06

PIP-E08 — ETF Flow Pressure Gauge

Purpose
Measure how ETF flows structurally push or pull price.
FacetDetail
InputsDaily ETF net flows, rolling flow trend (7D/30D), ETF premium/discount vs NAV.
OutputsFlow bias (Inflow / Outflow / Flat), pressure score, regime tag.
Core logicSustained inflows → structural support. Sustained outflows → structural drag. Combine with trend to tag regime.
07

PIP-C09 — Crowd Inversion Detector

Purpose
Identify moments where extreme crowd belief becomes a contrarian signal.
FacetDetail
InputsSentiment extremes (S01), liquidation extremes, retail dominance (B02), narrative polarity (N03).
OutputsInversion probability (0–100), contrarian long/short zone, risk tag (Conservative / Aggressive).
Core logicFear + liquidations + retail dominance + institutional accumulation → Contrarian Long. Euphoria + leverage + retail + institutional distribution → Contrarian Short.
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